How would you choose regularization strength without using the test set?

Instruction: A standardized ridge-regression pipeline gives validation MSE 12, 8, and 11 for alpha 0, 1, and 100. Training MSE is 2, 5, and 10 respectively. All scores use the same training/validation split. Select a candidate and describe final evaluation; the test set has not been opened.

Context: Use training and validation evidence to select model complexity while preserving an independent final evaluation.

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Choose alpha=1 provisionally: it has the lowest supplied validation MSE, 8. Alpha=0 fits training very closely but has a large generalization gap; alpha=100 increases both errors, suggesting too much shrinkage in this comparison. This small experiment does not establish that 1 is universally optimal.

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